One of the best ways to work the Spread Betting system is to flat bet your unit size as you go along. Once you begin to understand Sports Betting, you can opt for a higher amount of risk, higher leverage, more money risked per trade, and hopefully begin to earn more money. Remember that Rome wasn’t built in a day. But once you build the foundation, you can definitely speed up the process.

Your choice of a sports spread betting professional can make or break your success. Handicappers are service providers like anyone else and qualifying them before jumping on board is just as important as say, picking a babysitter. If your money is valuable to you, that value should be important to your broker. A good sports handicapper knows that through discipline, both parties will profit.

Don’t expect miracles from sports betting. Spread betting is not a winning lottery ticket or a guarantee that you’ll become rich. It’s simply one method of investment among many, and it doesn’t work well for everyone. Re-evaluate your assumptions about sports betting before you sink significant amounts of capital into following even a viable spread betting system.

ProComputerGambler (originally mentored by one of the members of the famous Billy Walters ‘Computer Group from the 80’s that beat Vegas for millions on FBI records) has been at this for over 10 years now and has not had one single losing year. That doesn’t mean that we haven’t seen some ups and downs though or marginal years. The important things to remember while following PCG spread betting and moneyline tips are to stick to your guns, NEVER be afraid to PASS and don’t get emotional. Follow these three tips and we can make slow and STEADY growth together for a very reasonable charge from me: Tom Herbert – Owner of ProComputerGambler.com

I’m going to keep this article concise. In my time advising sports bets to my readers at 9AM-12noon I’ve learned a few things:
1. This is usually too early to make a call.
2. Better to place your bet later in the day after you’ve considered a much greater deal of information.

Note: It has been my policy for over 5 years to release bets before Noon CST and that won’t change. If I didn’t do that, a good portion of my subscribers would literally not be able to place wagers. So the job falls upon you, if you so choose to take my official selections as well as my robust set of leans and follow the set of filters I’m going to give you here that apply to all sports.

Also Note: Passing is the most important thing you can do. It is what will set you apart from Joe Gambler over the course of many years. The opposite of passing is forcing plays for the sake of having action; by contrast, this is the very worst thing you can do! Always take my leans and only ever do one thing: wittle them down, pass, rule things out.

Here is a list of filters I’d like you all to consider:

1. Systems and Trends via Killersports – I send out systems every day. Sometimes 3 or more of them. Bookmark these! Or better yet, for just $30 you can login and see what systems and trends of mine are active for a bet in under 5 minutes. Never go against a system or trend I have in the Killersports database. Here is our PCG discount link: http://killersports.com/trend_mart?discount_code=PCG_yH6zz2&store=PCG – It is highly recommended that you have this tool in your betting arsenal.

2. Smart Money – Wait on bets late to see if you’re on the opposite side of raw money. Here is exactly what you want to look for. Go to a site like SBRodds or Sports book spy where you’re given the # of bets on a matchup. If the public is heavy on one said and the line is moving the opposite way, make absolutely sure you’re fading the public / tailing the sharp money. The longer you wait before gametime, the more info you’ll have available to do this.

See RLM / Smart money info below at the end of the page.

3. Injuries / Suspension / Status Updates – Watch late for key personnel getting taken off the list of players for this game. In College sports this is crucial. It happens so often that a key player will get suspended or arrested or injured right before gametime. The books will still count your bet as a loss.
A good and easy way to do this is to look for the ‘(!)’ on this list for key players http://www.statfox.com/mlb/injuries.asp

4. Weather – Weather is hard to use as a predictor. The main thing it works well with are Unders in outdoor sports. Generally, ANY windy conditions tend to be good for the under. In MLB, you want to watch out for strong winds pointed towards the outfield prior to gametime. A good thing to do is to call the park 10 minutes before the last call for bets.

One thing the Fourth of July does is bring in the home crowd. The Fourth of July is MLB’s big day of the year where everyone is off work and looking for something to do. Add to the appeal of going to a baseball game, there are usually post game fireworks. So what profits on the Fourth of July?

Hmm. Let me take a guess? Something revolving around betting the home team?

Ding ding. The home team has gone 102-61 +30.26 units, +13.8% roi for a 62.6% win rate on the blind on Fourth of July!

Avoiding final games of series, very high and very low totals plus staying away from night games past 9:00PM where the home crowd might not be showing up in bulk brings this to a whopping 71-32 +36.36 units, +26.5% roi, and a 68.9% winning clip.

This is a very clear and logical concept and system, but it isn’t as good as they come for us. Remember, we’re looking at just one day of the year and this could all just be variance. There aren’t many similar situations to consider either so if you decide to bet all of these, do so with caution.

All the Best,

PCG

Taking Edges

The bottom line in sports betting is not complicated. If you want to win, you will have to really work at it. Here are some insights into taking edges:

* Never bet on impulse.

How many times during the year does a bettor quickly scan a betting line, call his bookmaker and get into action? It is impossible to be successful by studying for 45 seconds and then betting basically on impulse.

* Always shop for the right price.

The biggest edge a bettor can have is to have more than one wagering outlet, and that is quite possible in this day of offshore bookmaking. You can look at 15 different lines from betting shops around the world (these lines are available through various on-line computer services) and see dramatic differences from one place to the next.

* Study, and understand, how/why you won or lost.

When a game is over, go back and look at the game and see if you won because your analysis was right, or whether your team shot 60 percent from the floor. What happened in this game will, to a certain extent, determine whether you use it in the next game.

* Do not be afraid to be a contrarian.

Most of the smart money bet in Las Vegas is on underdogs. Wiseguy bettors know the public jumps all over favorites, which means the lines are tilted, if ever so slightly, to favor underdogs. Wiseguys rule the betting market in Las Vegas and if underdogs are where they focus their at-tention, it would be wise for bettors to do the same.

* Have a comfortable amount of action.

Some handicappers like to bet just one game a day, while others are more com-fortable with four or five. Then there are some of the wiseguy groups who will bet 25-30 games on a busy day. Stick with what makes you comfortable.

* Never give too much strength to any single factor in handicapping.

Handicapping a single game is a puzzle of many pieces, and the picture is never complete until you puts each in its proper place. Never use a single factor — such as a trend — to determine whether a game is playable. Look at every single factor that can affect the outcome of a game.

* Never bet more money than you can afford to lose.

There is no guarantee the stock you just bought will go up, nor is there any guarantee the football or basket-ball wager you just made will win. Bet only the amount of money you can afford to lose. There is nothing more distracting than to bet over your head and then have to wonder how you will pay.

Handicapping sports can be a wonderful leisure activity which may or may not produce profits. But winning is a business and those who choose to approach it in a businesslike fashion have a legitimate chance to beat the game consistently.

ProComputerGambler.net

Getting into real estate investment can be tricky for newcomers and seasoned professionals. If you have been curious about learning more about it so that you can be successful, this is the right place for you. Continue reading to learn how to be a real estate investor.

When deciding to invest in real estate, create something like an LLC. This ensures that your investments will be protected. Additionally, you may be able to get tax benefits for your business because of your dealings.

Never invest your money in a piece of real estate that you have not been inspected by an independent or third-party professional. Sellers may be using someone who will favor them.Always get your inspection from someone that you personally trust.

Don’t buy steeply discounted real estate investments that are sub-par.Even if you’re thinking it’s a good price, it may be so cheap because it is undesirable.

Be sure that you spend a long while dealing with the business and also learning about how it works. This might mean that you will be cutting back on certain activities in order to make more cash. You might have to give up a night of bowling league to spend time improving yourself as an investor.

Don’t get real estate located in bad neighborhood. Be certain to understand the locale where you’re buying your property. Do all of your homework before you make a decision.A good deal on a nice house might mean it is in a bad place. It can be hard to sell this kind of home and it may be easily vandalized.

Think about partnering with a company that specializes in property manager. The company that does the property management will screen potential renters for you and handles repairs. This leaves you with more time to focus on finding other investment properties.

Steer clear of making purchases in rough or declining neighborhoods. Remember to keep in mind a property’s location when buying property. Research carefully. Great prices can indicate poor location. It may be hard to sell and it may be easily vandalized.

Don’t purchase a property just to increase the number of rental properties you hold. Investigate each property thoroughly before you invest and remember quality over quantity. This will largely protect the integrity of your investments.

Work well and play well when dealing with other real estate investors. This is a great way to share resources and resources. You can have many satisfied clients through networking and amicable relationships.This could be good for your networking possibilities.

It’s best to buy properties in the local areas that you know. This will be beneficial to you if you know the neighborhood already. Plus, if you’re renting, you can be more secure in the fact that you know what’s going on in the place. You will have better control of your investment since you live nearby.

Always refer to the future economic forecast of a county you are interested in. High unemployment and a shortage of good jobs keep property prices down. This can cause you could get very little on your investment. A city will increase your investment pretty quickly.

Real estate investors go through both success and lows. You must never allow these lulls in the market.

You want to make sure that your real estate properties are as hassle-free as possible. Time and money go hand-in-hand; you would not want to waste either one. Avoid college and vacation rentals, along with bad neighborhoods. Invest in solid properties with a good history of consistent tenancy.

Make sure you get help from the experts.Before you make a bid on a piece of property, take the time to speak with someone with experience in the business. Their expertise can ensure you make better decisions.

Know that your investment properties are unlikely to pay off quickly.Make sure you have money set aside to get you wait. You need to have to be employed when you start. There are a lot of expenses that pop up. You could go under if your income source.

You want to properly screen tenants every time. Too often an irresponsible or unreliable tenant can do expensive damage or are perpetually behind with their rent. Always get references and do background checks on anyone you might accept. This will help to ensure your tenants are dependable.

Avoid those just starting out when looking for good realtors. You should have an experienced professional if you’re going to find the best opportunities.

As this article has shown, learning about the market is how you will become success with real estate investing. Now that you’ve read these tips, you should have what you need to figure out some good investments. You will be successful as long as you follow the advice here and keep these tips nearby.

Wondering How To Get Into The World Of Gold? Try These Tips!

Gold generally trends up in price with a few downward fluctuations. The market is always welcoming to precious metals such as gold. When the economy is tough, the price of gold often remains high. In this article we will discuss ways to make money trading gold.

Comparison shop when it comes to selecting a buyer. You can read reviews online, check with the Better Business Bureau and discover how each dealer resolves customer complaints. Ensure you receive the maximum amount for your gold by shopping around.

Prior to selling old jewelry, research the going price for gold. You can then discern whether you are getting the right price for your jewelry pieces. Lots of dealers offer market value, though some try to take advantage of the sense of urgency felt by sellers needing fast money.

Only buy gold jewelry from a seller if they have a return policy It is impossible to tell if a jewelry item will be well liked or suitable. It is always best to have the value appraised before you accept an offer.

Take your old gold that you want to sell to a number of different gold-buying companies before settling on one. While the market quotes a price, not all companies actually pay close to that price. Look for stores off the beaten path as they often have lower overhead and better deals.

Is it better to sell your gold jewelry for melt value or as jewelry? Most pawn shops and gold buyers will purchase your gold jewelry for melt value. Don’t give up; eventually, the right buyer will come your way.

As you are aware, gold is a constant within the current financial systems of the world. This means that to take charge of this ever-fluctuating commodity, you must understand it, know how to capitalize on it, and secure your financial goals when dealing with it. Follow the advice presented here to make the most of the lucrative gold market.

Find Success In Gold With These Gems Of Tips

When it comes to finance, gold still remains king. Don’t you want to learn more about gold so you can keep a strong grip on all of your investments? There is much to think about when you are trying to find the right investment. Keep reading this article to educate yourself about gold as an investment vehicle.

Before you put down your money for gold, make sure you have a firm delivery commitment from the seller. If your seller can’t commit to immediate delivery, get the delivery date in writing. This should include the date the gold will arrive to you buy. Complete your order only when given this information.

If you decide to send your jewelry to a company through the mail, research them and their terms before heading to the post office. Your package needs to be insured, and you need to be aware of when you are going to receive payment. Lastly, take pictures of all items you’re sending so you have proof in the event of a dispute.

Only buy gold jewelry from a seller if they have a return policy You never know if the jewelry will fit someone else or if the person will even like it. For this reason, it is important to purchase jewelry items that come with a money back guarantee.q

Whenever you’re looking at selling scrap jewelry or gold it is best to explore many different companies to know the offers are legitimate. Though there may be a standard market price for gold at a particular moment in time, not every store will pay it. Look for stores off the beaten path as they often have lower overhead and better deals.

Prior to looking at this piece, there was a lot about gold that you did not know about. This information will make it much easier to decide whether you want to include gold in your investment portfolio. Follow this advice to begin making money through gold investment.

Gold Information You Probably Did Not Know About

If you are a serious investor, then you need to know the basics about gold investment. Gold helps balance your portfolio and diversify your investments. Where do you start, though? All of your choices may overwhelm you. Read on to ease the process and try to learn some gold investing basics.

When you invest in gold, the best way to invest in is bullion bars. Bullion bars come in a variety of weight. The bullion bars come in half ounce bars and increase up to large bars weighing 400 ounces. The smaller bars are more common, while the larger ones are harder to find.

Before you buy or sell your gold, make sure you understand how the prices of precious metals work. The prices for precious metals go up and down from one day to the next. Therefore you must find the price on the exact day before you agree to do business with someone. You might need to pay a higher percentage for melt values such as 1/10, and 1/2 fractional pieces.

Before you mail off your gold, make sure that you understand the polices, fees and terms of the company you are dealing with. You should find out how long the process takes, and get package tracking and insurance on your package, too. Lastly, take pictures of all items you’re sending so you have proof in the event of a dispute.

Take a look at the spot price prior to going out to purchase gold. Many sites offer this information, plus it changes every day. When you actually make your purchase, refuse to pay more than 8 percent more than this price. Some dealers charge more than that, but it is a rip-off.

When you know the right information for gold investments, you can better negotiate your options and better understand the entire process. With the good advice you found here, you can now choose more wisely. Remember though, the information here is meant to help you along the way.

It is important to understand the sports betting line because it is the beginning and the end for all handicapping decisions. Bettors must remember that they are not only handicapping a football game. They are also, and perhaps most importantly, handicapping the line.

But getting a grip on what the sports betting line really means can be difficult. In the past we detailed the relationship between probability and the point spread. The probabilities of one team winning and one team losing, and of bettors betting on one team or the other, are the essential factors linemakers weigh when creating the point spreads they put on each football game.

Once these sports betting lines are produced and placed before bettors, the meaning of the line changes. This happens because bettors do not view lines the same way that bookmakers and linemakers do. Bookmakers and linemakers see lines as a method to balance betting, but bettors use lines to pick winners and losers.

Sports Betting Lines

There are four kinds of sports betting lines: good lines, bad lines, right lines and wrong lines.

Bookmakers are interested, for the most part, in good lines and bad lines. Given that they use the point spread to evenly divide action, it stands to reason that bookmakers would prefer to use a good line, one that convinces half the bettors to bet on one side and half to bet on the other. But they occasionally offer a bad line, one that does not divide action and must be changed according to the volume of bets on one side or the other. So, as bookmakers say, a good sports betting line takes two-way action and a bad line attracts bets on just one side.

The two other kinds of sports betting lines

The two other kinds of sports betting lines — right lines and wrong lines — are mostly of interest to bettors. A right line is one that accurately measures the relative strengths of the contestants. In other words, after a statistical and situational analysis, a bettor could determine that one team was a certain number of points better than the other. If the line was the same as the bettor’s conclusion about the game, then the line would be right. The exact opposite is a wrong line — a line that does not reflect the relative strengths of the two teams.

Pick one currency pair to start and learn all about it. By trying to research all the different types of pairings you will be stuck learning instead of trading. Keep it simple by finding a pair you are interested in, and learning as much about them and their volatility in relation to news and forecasting. Break the different pairs down into sections and work on one at a time. Pick a pair, read up on them to understand the volatility of them in comparison to news and forecasting.

Convert Money In Forex By Following This Advice

For a successful Foreign Exchange trading experience, listen to what other traders have to say, but make your decisions based on your own best judgment. Always listen to what others have to say, but remember that your final decisions regarding your money are your own.

As in just about any area of life, the more you practice and experience something the more sharply honed your skills become. Your virtual trading account will give you all of the realities of trading in real time under market conditions with the one exception that you are not using your real money. You should also consult the many online tutorials available to you. You should gain a lot of knowledge about the market before you attempt your first trade.

You can get analysis of the Foreign Exchange market every day or every four hours. Technology makes tracking the market easier than ever, with charts in up to 15 minute intervals. The disadvantage to these short cycles is that there is too much random fluctuation influenced by luck. Try to limit your trading to long cycles in order to avoid stress and financial loss.

These are the tips that the experts recommend. Use these tips to avoid the painful trial and error of early Forex trading. Try to use these tips in order to turn a profit.

The main purpose of my service / your subscription with me is #1. for you to make / make more money #2. make you a better investor by doing more things right and less things wrong….so I thought debunking the lottery today was relevant with the Powerball reaching some insane highs.

A number of months ago, I debunked a fallacy in betting in which the parlay bet was being demonized by many, even sharp, gamblers…especially sharp bettors. I pointed out that the three team parlay offers better return than true odds (that is, the house actually eats a slight vig read past emails). Two teamers are a solid deal, but for 4+ teamers, the gap between true value and actual widens negatively and exponentially. The lottery is even worse and there is a similarity:

*As the odds of winning and VALUE go down, the more people want to make the bet (and yes, buying a lotto ticket is a “bet” although technically it should be considered something else). Last year Americans spent a total of $70.15 billion on lottery tickets, according to the North American Association of State and Provincial Lotteries.

As always, my statements aren’t opinions of mine; they’re facts. I’ve never bought a lotto or powerball ticket and I 99.9% likely never will. Why?

The odds. Read them and weep: http://campbellwealth.com/three-reasons-not-to-buy-a-lottery-ticket/

MY POINT

Lotto tickets being a fool bet probably isn’t anything new to anyone (I hope); so why bring it up? Not to insult anyone’s intelligence clearly; as I assume you’ve all heard these things.

My point is that this comes down to a discipline thing:
The Question: Is it okay to buy a lotto since it only costs a dollar or five or ten and there isn’t much to lose?

My answer: absolutely not. My guess is that if 90%+ of frequent lotto ticket buyers were presented with the proposition: will the earth turn on its axis fully in the next 48 hours? $1000 to win a ten cents — most wouldn’t take the bet; they’ll take the bet though where there is a better chance of being struck by lightning for a dollar. I’d take that bet any day of the week.

Fine. Why is it such a big issue?

Buying a lotto ticket with that mindset (“oh come on, it is just a dollar”) is like selling your financial soul. I’m all about not setting bad precedents; maybe you know how it goes: you break a 20 dollar bill and have some singles and buy a sucker that isn’t worth a penny. “Just this once” — These little fool purchases are so easily forgotten until they all add up and even then, it is hard to put your finger on what it was exactly that ate away your bank account.

Anyways, so much for New Years resolutions….never too late to change. At a minimum, by lotto tickets privately — if you have kids and want them to respect you, don’t indulge your guilty pleasure in front of them.

When the Sports Betting Line is Good

The pointspread on a game is a measure of what linemakers think the betting public will think of the two teams in a given game. Much thought is given to what the richest and best bettors will think of the matchup, but the general public’s opinion is also taken into consideration. The richest and best bettors, wiseguys and professionals, have a greater effect on the line because they bet more money and are thought to have a better opinion then the casual player. The casual player though, has an influence too, especially in certain games. This is because the casual bettor is more likely to bet certain teams— popular teams like the Dallas Cowboys, the New England Patriots and the Green Bay Packers in the NFL, and Notre Dame, Florida State, Michigan, Penn State, Ohio State. Texas A&M, Nebraska and Colorado in the colleges. In certain games, and with certain teams, the casual players, called squares by bookmakers, will have as much influence over the line as the professionals. In fact, in many games the casual players will line up to bet one side, while the wise-guys and professionals line up to bet the other. Because there are so many more casual players than wiseguys and professionals, bookmakers could have balanced action in this situation.

It is understanding why and how the line is made, and what makes it change during the week leading up to a football game, That is important to the gambler, This is because a sports bettor can make sports betting decisions based on line movement or the lack of line movement. He can also make decisions based on his anticipation of line moves. For instance, we can look at a specific NFL game played between team A and team B say, team B, playing at home, opened as a three-point favorite. Given That team A is not very good on the road and that team B does well at home and the history of close games let’s say between the teams, this seemed to be a right line. Upon further examination, we find other reasons why team B should be favored by three. Likewise, team A had played good games in opening the season 2-1. Their only loss was at against a tough opponent, and they didn’t deserve to be too much of an underdog versus team A. The line was also good in that action was equally divided, if we can Judge from the lack of Line movement in what was a game that saw more than moderate action. So what we have here is a right line and a good line. Bettors looked at this game, analyzed it up-and-down, and either divided themselves on each side or, like us, decided That the line was tight and left the game alone. The important thing is not that we examined the game, but that we examined the line in relation to the probabilities of the game producing a certain outcome and made a decision.

The same Sunday, we find a similar situation with Kansas City at Cleveland let’s say. The Browns were a 3.5 point favorite and had been all week. The Chiefs were undefeated and had looked great the previous week against Oakland. The Browns had opened with a loss at New England and had looked uninterested when beating Tampa Bay and Houston, teams that they clearly outclassed. Still, when it seems obvious that most bettors would love the Chiefs. the line didn’t move, Now what actually happened here was that the wiseguys and professionals thought this line was wrong and loaded up on Cleveland. They did so because they figured Cleveland would improve against competition they could take seriously, be-cause the Chiefs had lost six straight against the spread in games after they played the Raiders, and because the Chiefs looked like a candidate to bounce after come-from-be-hind wins against the New York Giants and Oakland in the previous two weeks. The casual players, meanwhile, backed Kansas City strongly. So what we have in this situation is a good line, one that divided action, but that after some statistical and situational analysis can be called wrong in that it is unlikely to predict the actual outcome of a contest .

When the Sports Betting Line is Bad

Linesmakers, of course, are not perfect. Some contend they are nowhere near perfect. Whatever the case, point spreads for sports betting are occasionally posted that do not divide action. Bad lines sometimes move by eight or 10 points through the course of a week and still do not get balanced action. What bettors must do is put themselves in a position to take advantage of lines and situations when those lines and situations will be to their advantage. Many football bettors lose opportunities, if not bets, because they join the party too late. So, here is our program for taking advantage of line:

Use Power Ratings — We cannot put enough emphasis on the use of power ratings, the distillation of a bettor’s opinion into a numerical form. Good power ratings should be able to give a bettor, at least, an initial assessment of a line. You can find two different sets of power ratings on this website via Raw numbers (paid) and our regular pcg power ratings (free).

Lines That Move — Many bettors follow line movement vary closely and bat either for or against certain kinds of movement. Betting on movement alone, though, will not produce enough winners over a lengthy period of time to satisfy most bettors. Always attempt to investigate why a line has moved before betting, and make an informed decision based on what was learned during the investigation.

Lines That Don’t Move — It might be better, anyway, to closely examine lines that don’t move. This situation can produce winners as easily as those that are produced in games that display fine movement. Many bettors, when they think about line analysis, think that they only need to concern themselves with line movement. But all lines deserve scrutiny. Anyway, the games in which there is no line movement are the ones that are most often overlooked. A bettor can sometimes find solid reasons for betting them.

Work in Advance — This is one of the 10 commandments of handicapping. Bettors will have to prepare and work hard if they want to win. If a bettor hopes to identify good plays based on line analysis, he will have to be ready to go as soon as the lines are posted. If he is not prepared at this time, he will certainly miss opportunities and may ruin his potential for profit.

Bettors and Linemakers — Remember that the pointspread performs different functions for bettors than it does for linemakers and bookmakers. Bettors look at the line as an indicator of the relative strengths or each team, Linemakers view the point-spread as a method to evenly divide action on each side of a game. Sometimes the pointspread will effectively serve both functions. Other times it will not. When the probability of a certain outcome exceeds the offered pointspread, the bettor can feel confident with his wager.

What happens when the Spurs score a point in NBA? I was asking myself this the other day when thinking about my NBA season. Do their points count for more than other teams? Are the San Antonio Spurs playing differently than the rest of the league? Of course they are. How does this phenomenon reflect the score of our betting season?

2-1 ATS yesterday. I’d like to get at least 15 units for the season with these official newsletter picks. The NBA raw numbers have excelled and I’m never sure how much more you can ask from them, but this appears to be their season.

Tis the nature of the process. This season I didn’t want to do CBB at all….how funny is that!
*CBB Raw numbers with a 0.5 edge or more are 604-529 53.3% +48.55 units ATS this season and even betting in the higher tiers (>1.00 , >1.5 , >2.0 etc)!

I’ve always preached the idea that the best bets are the ones that stink…the ones that you have a difficult time stomaching. For me personally, that is just basketball in general. I’ve always had a much better grasp on Football and MLB and felt that there is much more of a random factor in hoops. Perhaps it is the direction basketball is moving in now. You have people arguing that the three point shooting is taking away from the traditional quality of the game

….and yet, with all of the NBA teams trying to quicken pace which team (other than the Warriors is doing the best? The Spurs! And what do the Spurs do? I love what the Spurs do, they pace and manage and play old style. They’re sticking to their guns and NOT going where the rest of the league is going. When the Spurs score, it means something bigger.

This sort of diversity amongst teams though and their playing styles has certainly made the NBA much less of a big pile of MEH for me. I guess, as much as I hate to admit it, perhaps when I AM a fan and know the sport well as a fan, I do actually do better capping it….a statement which boldly goes against a theory I’ve had for many many years: That is, the less of a fan of the sport you are, the better a capper of it you’ll be. Taking those gut twisting value bets won’t be as difficult is the big reason there. Also, overreaction to key player injuries in a big pitfall you won’t get into as much.
I could waffle on more but here are some trends….

When the Spurs Score:

The points count for more…

• Since 1997, the Spurs are 664-164 80.2% Straight up. The Spurs score 100.2 ppg on average at home and the Spurs score 102.3 ppg in home wins.
• By contrast, the league scores 1.2 points more on average in home wins and 2.4 points more on average in wins in general since 1997.
• This season, the league is scoring 1.1 points more on average than what the Spurs score in wins.
• The point: The Spurs sit with the 2nd best record in the league and it isn’t even close to third place OKC Thunder who are 8 games behind!

So next time you hear someone talking about how the league has changed and that the pace has quickened and the sport isn’t what it was: inform them or remember that there isn’t much of a correlation between high powered offense and team record (excluding the Warriors who are, beyond a doubt, an absolute anomaly).

In the News: Gambling on Betting Systems and the Super Bowl

Daily Top Betting Systems and Trends:

• The Houston Rockets are 12-0 ATS (8.50 ppg) as a dog after a double-digit loss in which they committed at least twenty turnovers.
• The Dallas Mavericks are 7-0 ATS (6.86 ppg) since Dec 26, 2015 at home after a win
• Teams are 6-0 ATS (2.75 ppg) since Feb 04, 2016 as a home favorite after a game as a road dog (‘Dallas Mavericks’)
• The Utah Jazz are 0-8 ATS (-8.12 ppg) since Dec 14, 2015 as a road dog
• The New York Knicks are 0-6-1 ATS (-9.07 ppg) since Jan 22, 2016 after a game at home
• The Golden State Warriors are 60-4 ATS (13.00 ppg) since Apr 27, 2014 at home
• The Milwaukee Bucks are 35-14 ATS (3.87 ppg) since Feb 03, 2014 at home after a loss

Betting Systems and Trends suggest a play on: 
The Dallas Mavericks (we’re 3-0 ATS on these now!)

Note: Here is an excellent essay on sports betting system money management written in 2011 by my friend Russ in the sportsdatabase.com googlegroup forum. I don’t completely agree that this is the best way to do things, but the thoughts are so incredibly solid. Let it be a starting point for you to develop your own money management sports betting system strategy!

A Different Perspective on Money Management
By. Mr. East

Let me begin by saying, I am not a gambler, but an astute investor, and 10% of my portfolio happens to revolve around sports, because I am good at it, or let’s say  learned how to be good at it.

There is one critical area where I differ from anyone else you will ever see in this culture. I don’t view sports wagering as a football season, or a baseball season, I view it as a continuous investment cycle measured in 5 year increments. I happen to play 6 sports per year (MLB,WNBA,NCAAF,NFL,NCAAB,NBA). I have invested a total of 4,000.00 per sport, or a total investment of 24,000 in sports related investments.

Let’s assume you had money to invest, and sought out a savvy financial guru to help you. You liked his track record, is approach, and decided to opt with him (or her). You hand him the money you want to invest, and let’s say it is the same 24,000.

Three months later you take a peek at your portfolio and the stock market is going down fast, and with it your portfolio is showing a 20% loss! You also notice he is buying more stocks, because that is the right strategy! So if your measuring him over 3 months, he can’t possibly help you! If you don’t give him at least 4-5 years, he knows he can’t help you, because there are fluctuations within the marketplace, but he also knows, long term, he will benefit from them!

See, sports wagering is exactly the same, but 99.9% of people approach  it completely differently! If they have a losing football season, it’s over, they lost! Hold on! if you tapped out, your right you did lose, and money management is your issue, sound familiar?

Here is my approach. I know I will win in every sport over 5 years, I don’t know which year I will win in which sports, but I don’t really care. NCAAB season just ended. I connected on 55.2% of all wagers. I closed my account, as opposed to allow it to lie dormant, and put it where I can continue to get a return, but also ensure it is liquid, because come Novemebr I’m back in. The 4,000.00 was initially wagered at 200.00 per game, a 20-1 ratio which by the way is not large enough!..but I have enough experience with systems I run to hand play out every game for at least 7 years to see what is the worst position I will ever be in, and if I have a cushion, I’m good.

My season never ends! I now take the baseball capital and load up in April, and do the same thing. I’m diversified, I have 6 sports, I will win over 5 years, it may be baseball that carries the load, it may be football, I don’t know which, but they all have good track records.

I challenge anyone to have the discipline to do this! If you are capable of winning 53.5%, read that again, 53.5% you will be rich! Most think if you hit less than 55,56…60% you can’t make money. Do you realize why Vegas throws card counters in blackjack out who have a 1-2.5% advantage? because they will get rich!

The secret is treating this as a singular investment that doesn’t end with the Superbowl, or the World Seriers, it ends in 5 years, and reevaluate.

See in 5 years at 55% 4,000 becomes 47,000! Read that again. HOW you ask? because the 20-1 ratio of wagers I expand to 25-1 for added protection, so when the account reaches 6,000 the wager size is now 250 a game, then 300, then 400, etc. Then I spend 6 months when that sport ends collecting interest on the money, and reinvest in the next season.

I don’t care if you have 100 or 4000 or 40000 if your not doing this, you can win 55%+ and you will lose in the end!

-Mr. East (Russ)

Here are some of the top sports betting systems we’re looking at for today:

MLB Sports Betting Systems:

1. The Mariners are 15-0 SU as a 130+ favorite when opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.85 on the season.
2. The Blue Jays are 10-0 OU after a win in which they did not walk the opponent.
3. The Rangers are 0-13 OU after a road game in which they struck out at least ten times and it is not the first game of a series.
4. The Nationals are 0-15 OU on the road off a road game when seeking same season revenge vs their opponents starting pitcher.
5. The Mets are 0-18 RL as a home favorite when opponents starter has an ERA of higher than 3.7 on the season.

Originally Posted by royboymiami:

Hey Herb Quick Question

After watching the ARZ game where the underdog +100 won SU
and the underhit -8.5

I saw the same exact line for Col v Marlins and I took Colorado +100 and under 8.5 BOTH HIT

Do you ever see underdog lines that are simialr and have the same results at the end of games… I was surprised both underdogs won str8 up and the game went under

Interesting. First thought I have is that it is coicidental, but anything is worth digging into….so long as you lean heavier on seeing most things as variance and not worth betting.

Here’s what I’ve seen:

#1. Since 2004, when the total has been very high (>10), the Underdog has profitted on the blind: 740-944 +23.67 units. Large sample, simple premise; this has to be considered whatever you’re doing.

#2. MLB has ‘handles’; 7 and 9. That is, where the actual scores of games most commonly land. With that said, the total 8.5 is a funny one right under a major handle. 8.5 is also the most commonly lined total (right a bit above 9) in all games since 2004. In those games, the home dog is 386-410 +62.90 units SU when the game went under the total. Perhaps an indication that: when you see that line (8.5) and like the under, maybe take a look at the home dog as well….

I don’t want to lead you down the wrong path there with #2. That might all be hogwash; whereas, I actually think there is something to #1 and believe it might be something worth pursuing…making a system out of one specific (arbirtray let’s say) integral total is a statistical no-no.

I haven’t done this in a while; today, I am going over over a year of performance of sports betting system and trends I put in my relatively new Trend Mart product that you guys get from my partners and me for a member discounted amount on the side of your PCG subscription.

TOP PERFORMING MLB SPORTS BETTING SYSTEM REPORT:

Every week we post five or so winning sports betting systems active for the day and try to imply a suggested wager. Mostly for fun, but our record on these in stunning; over 59% now. Here’s what we have for today:

Winning Sports Betting Systems for Weds

• OAK013: The Athletics are 21-6 OU when they blew a lead in their starters last start and lost and it is not the first game of a series.
• The Cubs are 4-14 since May 15, 2016 at home
• The Red Sox are 103-73-8 since Jun 11, 2015
• The Pirates are 100-73-5 since Jun 21, 2015
• The Angels are 5-14 since May 24, 2016 on the road. The Angels are 64-87 since Jul 23, 2015
• The Giants are 22-11 since Apr 22, 2016 at home
• The Tigers are 29-18 since May 15, 2016
• Since 2004, Sub .600 Underdogs against plus .600 teams off of a win go 623-715 153.71 units.

Let’s take the Detroit Tigers today as our best bet as road underdogs!

Best of luck,
PCG

Earlier today we posted a suggested play on the Detroit Tigers 112 on the road in our post titled, ‘Winning Sports Betting Systems for Weds.’ The Tigers crushed the Indians 12-2! Here’s another one for today:

Winning Sports Betting Systems for Weds Part II

• The Orioles are 12-5-1 OU since May 27, 2016 on the road
• The Orioles are 36-23-3 OU since Apr 28, 2016
• FILTER: The OVER is 44-18-6 25.05 units since 2014 when the Dodgers are home favorites of 110 or more. Total set over 6 runs.
• The Brewers are 14-27 since Oct 01, 2015 on the road
• The Nationals are 12-3 since May 29, 2016 at home
• WINNING SPORTS BETTING SYSTEM OF THE DAY (Supports a play on the Nationals) Home Favorites are money on the blind in July; the heart of the season; They have been 820-453 186.87 units SU under the following conditions: it isn’t Monday or Tuesday; No extreme lines; it isn’t series game 1; no 1 or 2 game series; no games that start very late at night and they didn’t just have game with a lot of errors.

These are very compelling reasons to take BOTH the Washington Nationals as home favorites plus the Over in the LA Dodgers/ BAL Orioles game (over 7.5). Let’s see if we can go 3-0 today.

Best of luck,
PCG